Is Buffett a Dividend-Growth Investor?





That should be easy to answer. Buffet is a not a dividend investor. Instead, he is a value investor. Ask this question to any investor in financial world and he/she would respond with this answer with a blink of an eye. Let us take a little deeper look into Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK) holdings and analyze them from dividend investing perspective.

As of 3Q 2008, BRK portfolio had a total of 40 companies. The total investments in top ten companies consist of approximately 85% of the portfolio while the remaining 15% is invested in 30 companies. Now, this could be viewed as a highly concentrated portfolio or portfolio anchored to good stocks. The table below shows the top 10 holdings, their percentage in BRK portfolio, and dividends per share.




We can calculate the annualized total dividend based on share count and dividends per share. It can be observed that from top 10 holdings, BRK receives annualized dividend of USD 1.644 billion (as of end of 2008). It would be safe to assume that since last few years (perhaps 4 to 5 years) BRK’s portfolio companies have been provided dividends in excess of USD 1.0 billion. The other fact is Buffet did not initiate these investments in recent past. However, he may have continued to add to an existing position. We know that he started investing in KO, AXP, PG, WFC, and WSC in late 80s and early 90s. These are the companies that have consistently increased their dividends over the past 15 to 20 years. With those assumptions, we can say that these were Buffett’s investments in dividend growth companies. I would presume that the yield-on-cost for these investments would easily surpass 10 to 15% (depending upon timeline for additional investments).

It seems that Buffett has anchored his portfolio with dividend growth companies which provides consistently increasing cash flow.

So do you still believe Buffett is a value investor? Does Buffett evaluate value using company’s cash flow? What are your observations and thoughts?

Adding Note (January 13, 2009): A reader of this blog pointed out a similar article published (prior to this one) at Dividend Growth Investor.

2 Responses to “Is Buffett a Dividend-Growth Investor?”

  1. Dividend Tree says:

    Anonymous,
    Thank you for pointing out similar article at Dividend Growth Investor’s blog spot. I can say:
    One, it reiterates the theme of the article, shows that practitioners of dividend-growth or dividend-focus investing have similar rationale and analytical focus.

    Two, contrarily, prior to writing the post perhaps I should do my search properly to make sure my peers have not written on similar themes and subjects.

    Thank you for stopping by.

    Best Regards,
    DT

  2. Anonymous says:

    This post looks very similar to an earlier one from Dividend Growth Investor.

    http://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/2008/10/warren-buffett-ultimate-dividend.html

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