Dividend Growth Investing Is About Total Returns

growthIt is close of five year now that I have been a long term buy and hold, and dividend growth focused investor. When I meet friends, acquaintances, or colleagues, on many occasions the discussion starts from what’s market doing today and steers towards trading/investing is nothing but a poker game. I get a sense that many of these folks think that buying (and selling) stocks is just a gamble of some kind. Irrespective of this, I believe both, trading and investing, have their own set of pros and cons depending upon what context an individual is looking at it. In the end, both trading and investing is done to make money. Some use approach of capital appreciation, some use dividend income, some do trades to generate income. The key is to have a plan and execute it with consistent results.

When it comes to dividend investing, many individuals think of high yields (perhaps Cramerica syndrome!). It shows lack of patience and tendency to read too much into the business media. They do not understand dividend growth and sustainability.

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Low Yield Dividend Stocks – What does it mean?

yieldIn last few weeks, I have looked at dividend stocks (aristocrats and achievers) that have dividend yields of less than 2%. There is a school of thought among dividend crowd that low dividend yields will take more than 10, 12, or even 15 years to match income from high yielding CDs or money market accounts. Furthermore, when low yield dividend stocks are compared to high yield dividend stocks, considering conservative dividend growth rates, low yielding stocks will often lag by significant amount. I agree that, mathematically, there is no argument for low yielding dividend stock providing lower income. Purely based on numbers, it is always good to go for relatively higher yield dividends stocks. In general, the cut off used by dividends investors vary such as 2% absolute dividend yield, 3% absolute dividend yield, or dividend yield higher than market (i.e. S&P500 yield).

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Which High Do You Prefer?

Do you prefer a company with high profitability, high revenue, high income, high dividends, high market share, high cash flow, etc. Aren’t all these highs depicting a good picture about any given company’s state of business? We can find an answer to this in the concept of value investing i.e. wide moat and under pricing. These are the two key ingredients for value investing. Here, the concept of wide moat and under pricing is in the context of its business environment or competition. It is a relative term. Similarly, when we think about any given company’s financial metric, we need to look at it in relative terms. High profitability or high income, or high EPS growth rate as a standalone does not provide a true picture.

We can get a true picture by looking for consistency. Two simple statistical measures of average and standard deviation can help us measure consistency. A standard deviation that is narrow and lower than average is a good observation. The table below shows some examples of randomly selected financial metric for few companies. continue reading rest of the article….

BDX – Stock Analysis for Dividend Growth Portfolio

bd_logoThis article was originally published on The DIV-Net, on May 28, 2009.

Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDK) is a medical technology company that serves healthcare institutions, life science researchers, clinical laboratories, industry and the general public. BD operates in three different market segments viz. medical supplies and devices, laboratory equipments, and diagnostic products. BD is headquartered in the United States and has offices in nearly 50 countries worldwide.

BDX is a dividend achiever and has been paying growing dividends for last 10 years. In one of my earlier post, I listed few companies that may have potential for dividend growth investments. I had shortlisted BDX for more analysis. Keeping with that, my objective here is to analyze if BDX is a good dividend growth stock and how it will rate on my scale of risk-to-dividends.

Trend Analysis

Here I am looking at trends for past 8 years of corporation’s revenue and profitability. These parameters should show consistently growth trends. The trend charts and data summary are shown in images below. continue reading rest of the article….

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