Any prudent portfolio management process must include the principles of asset allocation and diversification. These are two tools available to us for our portfolio risk management. This has been said many times, presented many times, and we individual investors make mistakes. On a personal front I have been guilty of it. Asset allocation and diversification are two different aspects which have different objectives.
In true sense, asset allocation is different types of assets which are either non-correlated or at least have low correlation. The notion here is that if these assets have low correlation, the volatility in returns will smooth out. Table 1 shows the average correlation factors in 18×18 matrix for different asset class such as real estate, international stocks, emerging markets, high-yield bonds, U.S. bonds, long-short, and investing styles. Table 2 provides the standard deviation of these correlations.
Between these two tables, we can observe that there is low correlation between stocks, bonds, real estate, and natural resources. In addition, the emerging markets and international markets have relatively higher correlation of up to 0.6. Investment strategy that includes asset allocation in true sense will have these lowly correlated assets included in the portfolio. It is hugely unlikely that at a beginning, we may not have all assets. However, based on individuals risk profile, it surely can be build over time. Asset allocation is designed to smooth out volatility and average out growth of the portfolio. continue reading rest of the article….
Diversification In the Context of Number of Stocks
This article originally appeared on The DIV-Net on June 25, 2009
There is a general perception that higher number of stocks in a portfolio provides better diversification (i.e. better risk management). I am discussing the relationship between number of stocks and its effect on diversification. I am using very simple probability mathematics for an ideal scenario.
I am using a stock being positive or negative as measure of diversification. In an ideal scenario, at a minimum, one would like to have all stocks to be positive relative to the buy price. For example, if a portfolio has 5 stocks, then one would like to have all positive side. If a portfolio has 10 stocks, one would like to have all in positive side and so on. Please note that I am not discussing the value of individual stock or portfolio. It is likely that a positive value in one stock can offset the negative value of other stock. continue reading rest of the article….